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Valendo-se das hipóteses formuladas por Wanderley Guilherme dos Santos para explicar o golpe de 1964 no Brasil, o texto procura identificar as condições que propiciaram a ruptura institucional havida na Venezuela em 1999. A análise de dados relativos à produção legislativa e à distribuição de cadeiras parlamentares e de preferências ideológicas, entre 1959 e 1999, indica que as hipóteses de Santos têm um considerável poder explicativo da crise política que atingiu a Venezuela no final da década de 90, oferencedo oferecem predições mais precisas a respeito dos motivos da ruptura institucional ter ocorrido em 1999.
Abstract
Based on the hypotheses of Wanderley Guilherme dos Santos to explain the Brazilian 1964 coup d’état, this article seeks to identify the leading conditions to the Venezuelan institutional rupture in 1999. Data about the legislative production and the distributions of parliamentary seats and ideological preferences between 1959 and 1999 point that Santos hypotheses have significant explaining capacity of the Venezuelan political crisis at the end of the 90’s, specially the causes of the institutional rupture in 1999.
Key words: Democracy, Venezuela, institutional rupture, political regime
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