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Dinâmica e determinantes da diversificação das exportações brasileiras no período de 2003 a 2013
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Palavras-chave

Crescimento econômico
Diversificação
Dados em painel dinâmico
Brasil

Como Citar

OLIVEIRA, Heder Carlos de; JEGU, Elodie; SANTOS, Venussia Eliane. Dinâmica e determinantes da diversificação das exportações brasileiras no período de 2003 a 2013. Economia e Sociedade, Campinas, SP, v. 29, n. 1, p. 29–51, 2018. Disponível em: https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/ecos/article/view/8662052. Acesso em: 6 out. 2024.

Resumo

Durante o período de 1960 até o início do século XXI, o Brasil apresentou um processo de diversificação das exportações do país de forma satisfatória. No entanto, essa performance tem sido bastante ambígua no decorrer das últimas décadas. Esse artigo, além de explorar a literatura que trata da relação entre diversificação das exportações e crescimento econômico, analisa os determinantes da diversificação das exportações brasileiras no período de 2003 a 2013. Para atingir os objetivos do artigo, foi utilizada a metodologia de Painel Dinâmico para os estados brasileiros. Os resultados indicam que, em geral, as exportações brasileiras concentraram-se momentaneamente nos anos de 2004, 2008 e 2012, mas tiveram um ligeiro processo de diversificação no ano 2005. Os estados do Sul e Sudeste são aqueles que apresentam maior diversificação dos produtos exportados, mas os estados do Centro-Oeste e Nordeste experimentam, desde o ano de 2006, altas taxas de diversificação das suas pautas de exportação. Além disso, os resultados econométricos indicam que as variáveis de educação, patentes per capitas, acesso ao crédito e investimentos públicos, demonstraram relação positiva e significativa com o processo de diversificação da economia brasileira no período estudado.

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