Banner Portal
Coronavirus pandemic and the resumption of unconventional monetary policies in the US
PDF (Português (Brasil))

Keywords

Unconventional monetary policy
Federal reserve
Coronavirus crisis

How to Cite

PAULA, Luiz Fernando de; SARAIVA, Paulo. Coronavirus pandemic and the resumption of unconventional monetary policies in the US: some considerations in light of the 2007-08 financial crisis. Economia e Sociedade, Campinas, SP, v. 32, n. 1, p. 53–78, 2023. Disponível em: https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/ecos/article/view/8673226. Acesso em: 17 jul. 2024.

Abstract

This article aims at analyzing, preliminary, the unconventional monetary policies adopted by the Federal Reserve from 2020 to March 2021, to contain the recessive effects of the global public health crisis caused by the pandemic of the coronavirus. For this purpose, since most of the current monetary measures were implemented during the 2007/08 financial crisis, a comparative was sought, as well as a counterpoint, given that the origins of the two crises are different. In the subprime crisis there was contagion from the financial sector to the real economy, whereas in the current crisis the reverse occurs, that is, a sharp drop in demand and offer that spreads to the financial system. We support that Fed benefited from the experience of unconventional monetary policies implemented since 2008, with the difference that, while in the first case such policies were gradually adopted after the 2008 financial crisis, in the case of the “coronavirus” crisis, they were implemented immediately to anticipate the effects of the crisis on the banking sector and the real side of the economy.

PDF (Português (Brasil))

References

ANDO, A.; MODIGLIANI, F. The “life cycle” hypothesis of saving: aggregate implications and tests”. American Economic Review, v. 53, n. 1, p. 55-84, 1963.

BERNANKE B. Some reflections on the crisis and the policy response The Century Foundation Conference on “Rethinking Finance”. New York, Apr. 13, 2012a.

BERNANKE, B. Monetary policy since the onset of the crisis The Federal Reserve Bank the Kansas City Economic Symposium, Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Aug. 31, 2012b.

BERNANKE, B.; BLINDER, A. Credit, money and aggregate demand. American Economic Review, v. 78, n. 2, p. 435-439, 1989.

BERNANKE, B.; GERTLER, M. Inside the black box: the credit channel of monetary policy transmission. Journal of Economic Perspectives, v. 9, n. 4, p. 27-48, 1995.

BLINDER, A. Quantitative easing: entrance and exit strategies. CEPS Working Paper, n. 204, Mar. 2010.

BORIO, C.; DISYATAT, P. Unconventional monetary policies: monetary and economic. BIS Working Papers, n. 292, Nov. 2009.

BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Monetary policy Disponível em: http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/default.htm. Acesso em: mar. 2021.

BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Economic research & data Disponível em: http://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/default.htm. Acesso em: mar. 2021.

BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. News & events Disponível em: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases.htm. Acesso em: mar. 2021.

CECIONI, M.; FERRERO G.; SECCHI, A. Unconventional monetary policy in theory and in practice. Bank of Italy. Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy Research Department, n. 102, Sept. 2011.

CHENG, J.; POWELL, T.; SKIDMORE, D.; WESSEL, D. What’s the Fed doing in response to the COVID-19 crisis? What more could it do? Jan. 25, 2021. Disponível em: https://www.brookings.edu/research/fed-response-to-covid19/

CLARIDA, R. What has – and has not – been learned about monetary policy in a low inflation environment? A review of the 2000s. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, v. 44, n. 1, p. 123-140, 2012.

CLARIDA, R. H., BURCU, D.-B.; CHIARA, S. The COVID19 crisis and the Federal Reserve’s policy response. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 2021. (Finance and Economics Discussion Series, n. 035). https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2021.035.

COMMITTEE FOR RESPONSIBLE FEDERAL BUDGET. Disponível em https://www.covidmoneytracker.org Acesso em: mar. 2021

EGGERSTSSON, G.; WOODFORD, M. The zero bound on interest rates and optimal monetary policy Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, v. 34, p. 139-211, 2003.

EICHEENGREEN, B.; O’ROURKE, K. What do the new data tell us? VOXEU/CPR. Disponível em: https://voxeu.org/article/tale-two-depressions-what-do-new-data-tell-us-february-2010-update#jun09 Acesso em: 30 out. 2021.

FRED Economic Data (2021). Disponível em: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TCMILBSNNCB Acesso em: 29 set. 2021.

FURMAN, J. The fiscal response to the Great Recession: steps taken, paths reject, and lessons for next time. Responding to the global financial crisis what we did and why we did it. Hutchins Center on Fiscal & Monetary Policy at Brookings. Preliminary discussion draft, Sept. 11-12, 2018.

GREENWOOD, R.; VAYANOS, D. Price pressure in the government bond market. American Economic Review, v. 100, p. 2, p. 585-590, 2010.

MODIGLIANI, F.; SUTCH, R. Innovations in interest-rate policy. American Economic Review, v. 56, n. 1, p. 178-197, 1966.

POWELL, J. Transcript of Chair Powell’s Press Conference, Apr. 29. 2020. Disponível em: https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20200429.pdf Acesso em: 29 set. 2021.

SARAIVA, P. J.; PAULA, L. F.; MODENESI, A. M. Crise financeira americana e as políticas monetárias não-convencionais. Economia e Sociedade, v. 26, n. 1, p. 1-44, 2017.

SARAIVA, P. J.; PAULA, L. F.; MODENESI, A. M. Da grande moderação a grande recessão: algumas considerações acerca da construção e revisão do novo consenso macroeconômico a partir da crise de 2007-2008. Geosul, v. 34, n. 70, p. 261-285, 2019.

TAYLOR, J. Does the crisis experience call for a new paradigm in monetary policy? CASE Network Studies and Analyses, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research, n. 402, 2010.

TOBIN, J. A general equilibrium approach to monetary theory. Journal of Money Credit, and Banking, v. 1, n. 1, p. 15-29, 1969.

WILLIAMS, J. Unconventional monetary policy: lessons from the past three years. Presentation to the Swiss National Bank Research Conference Zurich, Sept. 23, 2011.

YELLEN, J. Unconventional monetary policy and central bank communications University of Chicago Booth School of Business US Monetary Policy Forum, New York, Feb. 2011.

UNITED STATES CONGRESS. Disponível em: https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/senate-bill/3548/text Acesso em: abr. 2020.

U. S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS. Disponível em: https://www.bls.gov/eag/eag.us.htm Acesso em: abr. 2021.

U. S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY. Disponível em: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/ Acesso em: abr. 2021.

WORLD BANK. Disponível em: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG Acesso em: set. 2022.

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

Copyright (c) 2023 Economia e Sociedade

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.