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El crecimiento de la derecha y el voto por Bolsonaro
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Palabras clave

Bolsonaro
Voto
Derecha
Experimento de encuesta

Cómo citar

RUSSO, Guilherme Azzi; PIMENTEL JUNIOR, Jairo; AVELINO, George. El crecimiento de la derecha y el voto por Bolsonaro: ¿causalidad inversa?. Opinião Pública, Campinas, SP, v. 28, n. 3, p. 594–614, 2023. Disponível em: https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8671923. Acesso em: 11 may. 2024.

Resumen

La opinión predominante sobre las elecciones de 2018 es que el electorado brasileño se ha desplazado hacia la derecha. En este artículo argumentamos que una de las razones para explicar el aumento del auto posicionamiento ideológico del votante como de derecha puede atribuirse al proceso de toma de decisiones del voto en sí, y no necesariamente al aumento del electorado conservador. Para probar esta hipótesis, llevamos a cabo dos experimentos de encuesta que indican que la simple información sobre la posición del presidente Bolsonaro tiene los siguientes efectos en los encuestados: 1) un aumento en el porcentaje que se posiciona en la escala, y 2) un reposicionamiento más a la izquierda o a la derecha, según sus predisposiciones hacia el presidente. La existencia de un efecto inverso indica una interpretación alternativa y complementaria de la relación entre la ideología y el proceso de decisión del voto, por lo que tiene implicaciones importantes para comprender el contexto actual de las elecciones brasileñas.

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Citas

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