Abstract
Minas Gerais has dealt for decades with the challenge of economic sophistication. In an attempt to build paths for its economy’s transformation, the Government of Minas Gerais launched the Dataviva platform, allowing economic complexity’s approach to be used in the context of public development policies. This article aims to contribute to this debate by analyzing the economic complexity of the Brazilian states from 2002 to 2014, focusing on Minas Gerais. The research reveals that Minas’ economy is stuck in a “low complexity trap”, which requires a close collaboration between the public and private sectors for the discovery and investment in activities that contribute to economic sophistication.References
BDMG – Banco de Desenvolvimento de Minas Gerais. Diagnóstico da economia mineira: diagnóstico. Belo Horizonte: BDMG, 1968.
BDMG – Banco de Desenvolvimento de Minas Gerais. Economia mineira 1989: diagnóstico e perspectivas. Belo Horizonte: BDMG, v. 1, 1989.
BDMG – Banco de Desenvolvimento de Minas Gerais. Minas Gerais do século XXI. Belo Horizonte: Rona Editora, 2002.
BRESSER-PEREIRA, L. C.; GALA, P. Macroeconomia estruturalista do desenvolvimento. Revista de Economia Política, v. 30, n. 4, p. 663-686, 2010.
BRESSER-PEREIRA, L. C. Reflecting on new developmentalism and classical developmentalism. Revista de Economia Política, v. 36, n. 2, p. 237-265, 2016.
CAMARGO, J.; GALA, P. The resource curse reloaded: revisiting the Dutch disease with economic complexity analysis. São Paulo: Fundação Getúlio Vargas, 2017 (Working Paper, n. 448).
CAMPOLINA, B; CAVALCANTE, A. Economia minerária e seu impacto urbano: desafios e contradições na Região Metropolitana de Belo Horizonte. Redes - Santa Cruz do Sul: Universidade de Santa Cruz do Sul, v. 22, n. 1, janeiro-abril, 2017.
CORDEN, W. M. Booming sector and Dutch disease economics: survey and consolidation. Oxford Economic Papers, v. 36, n. 3, p. 359-380, 1984.
FREITAS, E. E.; PAIVA, E. A. Diversificação e sofisticação das exportações: uma aplicação do product space aos dados do Brasil. Revista Econômica do Nordeste, v. 46, n. 3, p. 79-98, 2016.
FJP – Fundação João Pinheiro. Perfil de Minas Gerais 2013. Belo Horizonte, 2013. Disponível em: http://www.fjp.mg.gov.br/PerfildeMinasGerais2013.pdf. Acesso em: 9 jan. 2016.
FJP – Fundação João Pinheiro. Produto Interno Bruto de Minas Gerais. Relatório Anual de 2014. Disponível em: http://www.fjp.mg.gov.br/index.php/docman/cei/pib/pib-anuais/664-monitor-fjp-relatorio-anual-do-pibmg-2014-completo/file. Acesso em: 16 dez. 2016.
FURTADO, C. Desenvolvimento e subdesenvolvimento. Rio de Janeiro: Fundo de Cultura, 1961.
HARTMANN, D. et al. Linking economic complexity, institutions, and income inequality. World Development, v. 93, p. 75-93, 2017.
HAUSMANN, R.; HWANG, J.; RODRIK, D. What you export matters. Journal of Economic Growth, v. 12, p. 1-25, 2007.
HAUSMANN, R.; KLINGER, B. The structure of the product space and the evolution of comparative advantage. Cambridge, MA: Center for International Development, Harvard University, 2007 (CID Working Paper, n. 146).
HAUSMANN, R.; HIDALGO, C. A. The network structure of economic output. Journal of Economic Growth, v. 16, n. 4, p. 309-342, 2011.
HAUSMANN, Ricardo et al. The atlas of economic complexity: mapping paths to prosperity. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2014.
HAUSMANN, R.; ESPINOZA, L.; SANTOS, M. A. Diagnostico de crecimiento de Chiapas: la trampa de la baja productividad. Cambridge, MA: Center for International Development, Harvard University, 2015 (CID Working Paper, n. 304).
HIDALGO, C. A. et al. The product space conditions the development of nations. Science, v. 317, n. 5837, p. 482-487, 2007.
HIDALGO, C. A.; HAUSMANN, R. The building blocks of economic complexity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, v. 106, n. 26, p. 10570-10575, 2009.
IBGE – Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia E Estatística. Contas Regionais do Brasil: 2010-2014. Rio de Janeiro: IBGE, 2016 (Contas Nacionais, n. 53). Disponível em: http://biblioteca.ibge.gov.br/pt/biblioteca-catalogo?view=detalhes&id=298881. Acesso em: 20 ago. 2017.
JANKOWSKA, A.; NAGENGAST, A.; PEREA, J. R. The middle-income trap: comparing Asian and Latin American experiences. OECD Development Centre Policy Insights, n. 96, 2012.
KALDOR, N. Causes of the slow rate of economic growth of the United Kingdom. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1966.
LALL, S. Technological capabilities and industrialization. World Development, v. 20, n. 2, p. 165-186, 1992.
MEDEIROS, C. Natural resources nationalism and development strategies. Circus, jun. 2012. Disponível em: http://grupolujan-circus.blogspot.com.br/2012/06/natural-resourses-nationalism-and.html. Acesso em: 14 jul. 2014.
MISSIO, F.; JAYME, F. OREIRO, J. L. The structuralist tradition in economics: methodological and macroeconomics aspects. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, v. 35, n. 2, p. 247-266, 2015.
NU.CEPAL Naciones Unidas. Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe. Recursos naturales: situación y tendencias para una agenda de desarrollo regional en América Latina y el Caribe. Cepal, 2013.
PALMA, G. Four sources of “de-industrialisation” and a new concept of the “Dutch disease”. In: OCAMPO, J. A. (ed.). Beyond reforms: structural dynamics and macroeconomic vulnerability. New York: Stanford University Press and World Bank, 2005.
PREBISCH, R. O desenvolvimento econômico da América Latina e seus principais problemas. Revista Brasileira de Economia, v. 3, n. 3, p. 47-111, 1949.
RODRIK, D. The past, present, and future of economic growth. Global Citizen Foundation, June 2013a (Working Paper, n. 1). Disponível em: http://www.gcf.ch/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/GCF_Rodrik-working-paper-1_-6.17.131.pdf.
RODRIK, D. Structural change, Fundamentals, and Growth: an overview. 2013b (Working paper). Disponível em: https://drodrik.scholar.harvard.edu/files/dani-rodrik/files/structural-change-fundamentals-and-growth-an-overview_revised.pdf.
SACHS, J. D.; WARNER, A. M. Natural resource abundance and economic growth. National Bureau of Economic Research, 1995 (NBER Working Paper Series, n. 5398).
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Copyright (c) 2018 Revista Brasileira de Inovação
Downloads
