Palavras-chave
Teoria Keynesiana
Teoria Neoinstitucionalista
Incerteza
Hábito
Instituição
Teoria Neoinstitucionalista
Incerteza
Hábito
Instituição
Como Citar
TERRA , Fábio Henrique Bittes; GOUDARD, Gustavo Chagas. Incerteza, tomada de decisão, hábito e instituição: uma possível articulação entre keynesianos e neoinstitucionalistas. Economia e Sociedade, Campinas, SP, v. 27, n. 3, p. 713–742, 2018. Disponível em: https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/ecos/article/view/8657065. Acesso em: 19 abr. 2024.
Resumo
Por um lado, é possível, a partir de Keynes e dos pós-keynesianos, inferir que existem duas naturezas para a incerteza: a que diz respeito ao processo pelo qual o sujeito conhece (epistemológica) e a que se refere ao comportamento da realidade que se quer conhecer (ontológica), sendo que nos processos de tomada de decisão, ambas incertezas estão presentes. Por outro lado, para a abordagem neoinstitucionalista, o hábito como substrato das instituições possui repercussão tanto em nível do indivíduo quanto em âmbito do todo. Assim sendo, não seriam os hábitos e as instituições hábeis a reduzir a incerteza? O objetivo deste trabalho é responder a esta questão, articulando as teorias keynesiana e neoinstitucionalista no que toca ao modo pelo qual, nesta, os hábitos e as instituições podem contribuir para que se tenha, com base naquela, a diminuição das incertezas epistemológica e ontológica.
Referências
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ATKINSON, G.; OLESON JR. Commons and Keynes: their assault on laissez faire. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 32, n. 4, p. 1019-1030, 1998.
BATEMAN, B.W.; DAVIS, J.B. Keynes and Philosophy: essays on the origin of Keynes’s thought. Aldershot: Edward Elgar, 1991.
CARABELLI, A. M. On Keynes’s method. London: Macmillan, 1988.
CARVALHO, F. J. C. Mr. Keynes and the post Keynesians. Aldershot: Edward Elgar, 1992.
CARVALHO, F. J. C. Características essenciais do método de Keynes na teoria GERAL. In: CORAZZA, G. Métodos da ciência econômica. Porto Alegre: Ed. UFRGS, 2003. p. 175-188, CASTELLI, J. R. Brasil (des)acorrentado: uma análise evolucionária do processo de inserção da economia brasileira nos paradigmas tecno-econômicos da produção em massa e da tecnologia da informação. Dissertação (Mestrado)–Faculdade de Ciências Econômicas, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, 2013.
CAVALIERI, M. R.; ALMEIDA, F. Institutionalists as dissenters: why were institutionalists strongly dissastisfied with economics during the postwar period? Journal of Economics Issues, v. 49, n. 2, p. 475-482, 2015.
CHASSE, J. D. John R. Commons e John Maynard Keynes: two philosophies of action. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 25, n. 2, p. 441-448, 1991.
COASE, R.. The firm, the market and the law. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1988.
COMMONS, J. R. Institutional economics. American Economic Review, v. 21, p. 648-657, 1931.
CONCEIÇÃO, O. A. C.; FERRARI FILHO, F. A noção de incerteza nos pós-keynesianos e institucionalistas: uma conciliação possível? Nova Economia, v. 11, n. 1, p. 99-122, 2001.
CONCEIÇÃO, O. A. C. Os antigos, os novos e os neo-institucionalistas: há convergência teórica no pensamento institucionalista? Análise Econômica, Porto Alegre, v. 19, n. 36, p. 25-46, 2001.
CONCEIÇÃO, O. A. C. O conceito de instituição nas modernas abordagens institucionalistas. Revista de Economia Contemporânea, v. 6, n. 2, p.119-146, 2002a.
CONCEIÇÃO, O. A. C. A relação entre o processo de crescimento econômico, mudança e instituições na abordagem institucionalista. Ensaios FEE, v. 23, Número Especial, p. 603-620, 2002b.
CONCEIÇÃO, O. A. C. Uma comparação entre os antigos, os novos, e os neoinstitucionalistas. In: COLÓQUIO LATINO-AMERICANO DE ECONOMISTAS POLÍTICOS, 4. São Paulo, 2004.
CONCEIÇÃO, O. A. C. Além da transação: uma comparação do pensamento institucionalista com os evolucionários e pós-keynesianos. Revista EconomiA, v. 8, n. 3, p. 621-642, 2008.
COTTRELL, A. Keynes’s theory of probability and its relevance to his economics: three thesis. Economics and Philosophy, v. 9, n. 1, p. 25-51, 1993.
CROCCO, M. The Concepts of degrees of uncertainty in Keynes, Shackle and Davidson. Nova Economia, v. 12, n. 2, p. 12-27, 2002.
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DAVIDSON, P. Expectations and confidence under uncertainty. Journal of Post-Keynesian Economics, v. 21, n. 3, p. 415-430, 1999.
DAVIDSON, P. Fundamental uncertainty and ambiguity. Eastern Economic Journal, v. 26, n. 1, p. 41-60, 2000.
DAVIDSON, P. Uncertainty: individuals, institutions and technology. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 28. n. 3, p. 365-378, 2004.
DOW, S. The methodology of macroeconomic though. A conceptual analysis of schools of tought in economics. Aldershot: Edward Elgar, 1996.
DUGGER, W. The new institutionalism: new but not institutionalism. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 24, n. 2, p. 423-431, 1990.
GERRARD B.; HILLARD, J. The philosophy and economics of J. M. Keynes. Aldershot: Edward Elgar, 1992.
HODGSON, G. M. Thorstein Veblen and post-Darwinian economics. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 16, n. 3, p. 285-301, 1992.
HODGSON, G. M. Institutional economics: surveying the 'old' and the 'new'. Metroeconomica, v. 44, n. 1, p. 1-28, 1993.
HODGSON, G. M. The ubiquity of habits and rules. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 21, p. 663-684, 1997.
HODGSON, G. M. On the evolution of Thorstein Veblen's evolutionary economics. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 22, p. 415-431, 1998a.
HODGSON, G. M. The approach of institutional economics. Journal of Economic Literature, v. 36, p. 166-192, 1998b.
HODGSON, G. M. What is the essence of institutional economics? Journal of Economic Issues, v. 34, n. 2, p. 317-29, 2000.
HODGSON, G. M. How economics forgot history? The problem of history specificity in social science. London: Routledge, 2005.
HODGSON, G. M. The hidden persuaders: institutions and individuals in economic theory. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 27, p. 159-175, 2003.
HODGSON, G. M. Reclaiming habits for institutional economics. Journal of Economy and Psychology, v. 25, p. 651-660, 2004.
HODGSON, G. M. Generalizing Darwinism to social evolution: some early attempts. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 39, n. 4, p. 899-914, 2005.
HODGSON, G. M. What are institutions? Journal of Economic Issues, v. 15, n. 1, p. 1-25, 2006.
HODGSON, G. M. Institutional economics into twenty-first century. Studii e Note di Economia, v. 14, n. 1, p. 3-26. 2009.
KELSO, P. R.; DUMAN, B. L. A Veblenian view of Minsky’s financial crisis theory. International Journal of Social Economics, v. 19, n. 10/11/12, p. 222-234, 1992.
KEYNES, J. M. Treatise on probability. London: Macmillan, 1921.
KEYNES, J. M. The general theory of employment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, v. 51, n. 2, p. 209-223, 1937.
KEYNES, J. M. Essays on biography. New York: W. W. Norton & Company, 1933.
KEYNES, J. M. The general theory of employment, interest and money. New York: HBJ Book, 1964.
KEYNES, J. M. A tract on monetary reform. The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, v. IV. London: Macmillan / Cambridge University Press, 1971.
KEYNES, J. M. Essays on persuasion. The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, v. IX. London: Macmillan / Cambridge University Press, 1972.
KEYNES, J. M. The general theory and after: defense and development. The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, v. XIV. London: Macmillan / Cambridge University Press, 1973.
KEYNES, J. M. The return to gold and industrial policy. The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, Activities 1922-1929, v. XIX. London: Macmillan / Cambridge University Press, 1981.
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LAVOIE, M.; SECCARECCIA, M. Editorial to special issue – Post Keynesian and institutional political economy. European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, v. 10, n. 1, p. 8-11, 2013.
LAWSON, L.; LAWSON, C. Financial system restructuring: lesson from Veblen, Keynes and Kalecki. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 24, n. 1, p. 115-131, 1990.
LAWSON, T. The Nature of Heterodox Economics. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 30, p. 483-505, 2005.
LAWSON, T.; PESARAN, H. Keynes’ economics: methodological issues. Armonk: M. E. Sharpe, 1985.
MINSKY, H. P. Stabilizing an unstable economy. New Heaven: Twentieth Century Fund Report, 1986.
MINSKY, H. P. Uncertainty and the institutional structure of capitalist economies. The Levy Institute of Economics, 1996. (Working Paper, n. 155).
MOGGRIDGE, D. E. Keynes. New York: Modern Masters, 1976.
MOUHAMMED, A. H. Veblen and Keynes: on the economic theory of the capitalist economy. Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, v. 155, n. 4, p. 594-609, 1999a.
MOUHAMMED, A. H. Veblen and Keynes. Journal of International Politics, Culture and Society, v. 13, n. 2, p. 169-186, 1999b.
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PESSALI, H. Nanofundamentos da macroeconomia: Keynes e o institucionalismo na Teoria Geral. Revista de Economia, v. 32, n. 2, p. 63-79, 2006.
RUNDE, J. Keynesian uncertainty and the weight of arguments. Economics and Philosophy, v. 2, n. 6, p. 275-292, 1990.
RUTHEFORD, M. Veblen’s evolutionary programme: a promise unfulfilled. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 22, p. 463-477, 1998.
SAMUELS, W. J. The present state of institutional economics. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 19, p. 569-590, 1995.
SCHUMPETER, J. A. The theory of economic development. Cambridge: Havard University, 1957.
SHACKLE, G. L. S. Imagination and the nature of choice. Edinburg: Edinburg University Press, 1979.
SKIDELSKY, R. John Maynard Keynes – The economist as a Savior. London: Penguin Books, 1994.
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STANFIELD, J. R. The scope, method and significance of original institutional economics. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 33, n. 2, p. 231-255, 1999.
TAUHEED, L. F. A proposed methodological synthesis of post-Keynesian and institutional economics. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 45, n. 4, p. 819-837, 2011.
TERRA, F. H. B.; FERRARI FILHO, F. Reflexões sobre o método em Keynes. Revista de Economia Política, v. 36, n. 1, p. 70-90, 2016.
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VEBLEN, T. The preconceptions of economic science. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, v. 13, n. 4, p. 396-426, 1899b.
VEBLEN, T. The limitations of marginal utility. Journal of Political Economy, v. 17, n. 9, p. 620-636, Nov. 1909.
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BATEMAN, B.W.; DAVIS, J.B. Keynes and Philosophy: essays on the origin of Keynes’s thought. Aldershot: Edward Elgar, 1991.
CARABELLI, A. M. On Keynes’s method. London: Macmillan, 1988.
CARVALHO, F. J. C. Mr. Keynes and the post Keynesians. Aldershot: Edward Elgar, 1992.
CARVALHO, F. J. C. Características essenciais do método de Keynes na teoria GERAL. In: CORAZZA, G. Métodos da ciência econômica. Porto Alegre: Ed. UFRGS, 2003. p. 175-188, CASTELLI, J. R. Brasil (des)acorrentado: uma análise evolucionária do processo de inserção da economia brasileira nos paradigmas tecno-econômicos da produção em massa e da tecnologia da informação. Dissertação (Mestrado)–Faculdade de Ciências Econômicas, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, 2013.
CAVALIERI, M. R.; ALMEIDA, F. Institutionalists as dissenters: why were institutionalists strongly dissastisfied with economics during the postwar period? Journal of Economics Issues, v. 49, n. 2, p. 475-482, 2015.
CHASSE, J. D. John R. Commons e John Maynard Keynes: two philosophies of action. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 25, n. 2, p. 441-448, 1991.
COASE, R.. The firm, the market and the law. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1988.
COMMONS, J. R. Institutional economics. American Economic Review, v. 21, p. 648-657, 1931.
CONCEIÇÃO, O. A. C.; FERRARI FILHO, F. A noção de incerteza nos pós-keynesianos e institucionalistas: uma conciliação possível? Nova Economia, v. 11, n. 1, p. 99-122, 2001.
CONCEIÇÃO, O. A. C. Os antigos, os novos e os neo-institucionalistas: há convergência teórica no pensamento institucionalista? Análise Econômica, Porto Alegre, v. 19, n. 36, p. 25-46, 2001.
CONCEIÇÃO, O. A. C. O conceito de instituição nas modernas abordagens institucionalistas. Revista de Economia Contemporânea, v. 6, n. 2, p.119-146, 2002a.
CONCEIÇÃO, O. A. C. A relação entre o processo de crescimento econômico, mudança e instituições na abordagem institucionalista. Ensaios FEE, v. 23, Número Especial, p. 603-620, 2002b.
CONCEIÇÃO, O. A. C. Uma comparação entre os antigos, os novos, e os neoinstitucionalistas. In: COLÓQUIO LATINO-AMERICANO DE ECONOMISTAS POLÍTICOS, 4. São Paulo, 2004.
CONCEIÇÃO, O. A. C. Além da transação: uma comparação do pensamento institucionalista com os evolucionários e pós-keynesianos. Revista EconomiA, v. 8, n. 3, p. 621-642, 2008.
COTTRELL, A. Keynes’s theory of probability and its relevance to his economics: three thesis. Economics and Philosophy, v. 9, n. 1, p. 25-51, 1993.
CROCCO, M. The Concepts of degrees of uncertainty in Keynes, Shackle and Davidson. Nova Economia, v. 12, n. 2, p. 12-27, 2002.
CROTTY, J. Are Keynesian uncertainty and macrotheory compatible? Conventional decision making, institutional structures and conditional stability in Keynesian macromodels. In: DIMSKY, G.; POLLIN, R. (Ed.). New perspectivies in monetary macromodels. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1994. p. 105-139.
DILLARD, D. A monetary theory of production: Keynes and the Institutionalists. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 14, n. 2, p. 255-273, 1980.
DAVIDSON, P. Money and the real world. New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1972.
DAVIDSON, P. Controversies in post Keynesian economics. Aldershot: Edward Elgar, 1991.
DAVIDSON, P. Reality and economic theory. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, v. 18, n. 4, p. 479-508, 1996. DAVIDSON, P. Uncertainty in a strong sense: meaning and sources. Economic Issues, v. 2, n. 2, p. 21-43, 1997.
DAVIDSON, P. Expectations and confidence under uncertainty. Journal of Post-Keynesian Economics, v. 21, n. 3, p. 415-430, 1999.
DAVIDSON, P. Fundamental uncertainty and ambiguity. Eastern Economic Journal, v. 26, n. 1, p. 41-60, 2000.
DAVIDSON, P. Uncertainty: individuals, institutions and technology. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 28. n. 3, p. 365-378, 2004.
DOW, S. The methodology of macroeconomic though. A conceptual analysis of schools of tought in economics. Aldershot: Edward Elgar, 1996.
DUGGER, W. The new institutionalism: new but not institutionalism. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 24, n. 2, p. 423-431, 1990.
GERRARD B.; HILLARD, J. The philosophy and economics of J. M. Keynes. Aldershot: Edward Elgar, 1992.
HODGSON, G. M. Thorstein Veblen and post-Darwinian economics. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 16, n. 3, p. 285-301, 1992.
HODGSON, G. M. Institutional economics: surveying the 'old' and the 'new'. Metroeconomica, v. 44, n. 1, p. 1-28, 1993.
HODGSON, G. M. The ubiquity of habits and rules. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 21, p. 663-684, 1997.
HODGSON, G. M. On the evolution of Thorstein Veblen's evolutionary economics. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 22, p. 415-431, 1998a.
HODGSON, G. M. The approach of institutional economics. Journal of Economic Literature, v. 36, p. 166-192, 1998b.
HODGSON, G. M. What is the essence of institutional economics? Journal of Economic Issues, v. 34, n. 2, p. 317-29, 2000.
HODGSON, G. M. How economics forgot history? The problem of history specificity in social science. London: Routledge, 2005.
HODGSON, G. M. The hidden persuaders: institutions and individuals in economic theory. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 27, p. 159-175, 2003.
HODGSON, G. M. Reclaiming habits for institutional economics. Journal of Economy and Psychology, v. 25, p. 651-660, 2004.
HODGSON, G. M. Generalizing Darwinism to social evolution: some early attempts. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 39, n. 4, p. 899-914, 2005.
HODGSON, G. M. What are institutions? Journal of Economic Issues, v. 15, n. 1, p. 1-25, 2006.
HODGSON, G. M. Institutional economics into twenty-first century. Studii e Note di Economia, v. 14, n. 1, p. 3-26. 2009.
KELSO, P. R.; DUMAN, B. L. A Veblenian view of Minsky’s financial crisis theory. International Journal of Social Economics, v. 19, n. 10/11/12, p. 222-234, 1992.
KEYNES, J. M. Treatise on probability. London: Macmillan, 1921.
KEYNES, J. M. The general theory of employment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, v. 51, n. 2, p. 209-223, 1937.
KEYNES, J. M. Essays on biography. New York: W. W. Norton & Company, 1933.
KEYNES, J. M. The general theory of employment, interest and money. New York: HBJ Book, 1964.
KEYNES, J. M. A tract on monetary reform. The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, v. IV. London: Macmillan / Cambridge University Press, 1971.
KEYNES, J. M. Essays on persuasion. The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, v. IX. London: Macmillan / Cambridge University Press, 1972.
KEYNES, J. M. The general theory and after: defense and development. The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, v. XIV. London: Macmillan / Cambridge University Press, 1973.
KEYNES, J. M. The return to gold and industrial policy. The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, Activities 1922-1929, v. XIX. London: Macmillan / Cambridge University Press, 1981.
LATSIS, J.; LARQUIER, G.; BESSIS, F. Are conventions solutions to uncertainty? Contrasting visions of social coordination. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, v. 32, n. 4, p. 535-558, 2010.
LAVOIE, M.; SECCARECCIA, M. Editorial to special issue – Post Keynesian and institutional political economy. European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, v. 10, n. 1, p. 8-11, 2013.
LAWSON, L.; LAWSON, C. Financial system restructuring: lesson from Veblen, Keynes and Kalecki. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 24, n. 1, p. 115-131, 1990.
LAWSON, T. The Nature of Heterodox Economics. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 30, p. 483-505, 2005.
LAWSON, T.; PESARAN, H. Keynes’ economics: methodological issues. Armonk: M. E. Sharpe, 1985.
MINSKY, H. P. Stabilizing an unstable economy. New Heaven: Twentieth Century Fund Report, 1986.
MINSKY, H. P. Uncertainty and the institutional structure of capitalist economies. The Levy Institute of Economics, 1996. (Working Paper, n. 155).
MOGGRIDGE, D. E. Keynes. New York: Modern Masters, 1976.
MOUHAMMED, A. H. Veblen and Keynes: on the economic theory of the capitalist economy. Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, v. 155, n. 4, p. 594-609, 1999a.
MOUHAMMED, A. H. Veblen and Keynes. Journal of International Politics, Culture and Society, v. 13, n. 2, p. 169-186, 1999b.
NELSON, R.; WINTER, S. G. An evolutionary theory of economic change. Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1982.
NIGGLE, D. Evolutionary Keynesianism: a synthesis of institutionalist and post Keynesian macroeconomics. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 40, n. 2, p. 405-412, 2006.
NORTH, D. C. Institutions. Journal of Economic Perspectives, v. 5, n. 1, p. 97-112, 1991.
NORTH, D. C. Economic performance through time. American Economic Review, v. 84, n. 3, p. 359-368, 1994.
O’DONNELL, R. M. Keynes: philosophy, economics and politics. New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1989.
PESSALI, H. Nanofundamentos da macroeconomia: Keynes e o institucionalismo na Teoria Geral. Revista de Economia, v. 32, n. 2, p. 63-79, 2006.
RUNDE, J. Keynesian uncertainty and the weight of arguments. Economics and Philosophy, v. 2, n. 6, p. 275-292, 1990.
RUTHEFORD, M. Veblen’s evolutionary programme: a promise unfulfilled. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 22, p. 463-477, 1998.
SAMUELS, W. J. The present state of institutional economics. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 19, p. 569-590, 1995.
SCHUMPETER, J. A. The theory of economic development. Cambridge: Havard University, 1957.
SHACKLE, G. L. S. Imagination and the nature of choice. Edinburg: Edinburg University Press, 1979.
SKIDELSKY, R. John Maynard Keynes – The economist as a Savior. London: Penguin Books, 1994.
SOUZA, J.; DUENHAS, R. A. Incerteza Intratável e o papel das instituições na formação de expectativas. Pesquisa & Debate, v. 21, n. 2, p. 201-224, 2010.
STANFIELD, J. R. The scope, method and significance of original institutional economics. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 33, n. 2, p. 231-255, 1999.
TAUHEED, L. F. A proposed methodological synthesis of post-Keynesian and institutional economics. Journal of Economic Issues, v. 45, n. 4, p. 819-837, 2011.
TERRA, F. H. B.; FERRARI FILHO, F. Reflexões sobre o método em Keynes. Revista de Economia Política, v. 36, n. 1, p. 70-90, 2016.
VEBLEN, T. Why is economics not an evolutionary science? The Quarterly Journal of Economics, v. 12, n. 4, p. 373-397, 1898. VEBLEN, T. The theory of the leisure class: an economic study in the evolution of institutions. New York: Macmillan, 1899a.
VEBLEN, T. The preconceptions of economic science. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, v. 13, n. 4, p. 396-426, 1899b.
VEBLEN, T. The limitations of marginal utility. Journal of Political Economy, v. 17, n. 9, p. 620-636, Nov. 1909.
VEBLEN, T. The place of science in modern civilization and other essay. New York: Huebsch, 1919.
VEBLEN, T. Essays on our changing order. New York: The Viking Press, 1934. VERCELLI, A. Weight of argument and economic decisions. Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development, 2010. (Working Papers, n. 6).
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